Forums > General Discussion   Shooting the breeze...

They say that sea water is rising and Ice burgs are breaking up Why?

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Created by HG02 > 9 months ago, 20 Oct 2017
Pugwash
WA, 7719 posts
26 Oct 2017 7:22PM
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Macroscien said..


Pugwash said..
I believe it is possible that HGO2 may have had a little too much C2H6O and should move onto a whole bunch of H2O.




C2H5OH



Also correct

Mr Milk
NSW, 3110 posts
27 Oct 2017 12:00AM
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morningsun said..
NOAA said...
Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased from about 315 ppm in 1958 to 378 ppm at the end of 2004, which means human activities have increased the concentration of atmospheric CO2 by 100 ppm or 36 percent.

source: www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2412.htm

NOAA's math needs some schooling;
378-
315
=63.
Its a 20% increase, which is still troubling, IF their original figures are correct.
Their original assumption that 100 is 36% of 315 is also incorrect, it is 31.75%. Who the fluck is doing the science/maths at NOAA...
If they want to be taken seriously as an academic authority on the subject some simple fact checking would be nice.


This thread started off amusing, but somehow the levity disappeared along the line.

Anyway, if you read the article that you are quoting you should have noticed that the baseline level of CO2 mentioned in the paragraph before the bit you quote is 278ppm

"Each year since global measurements of CO2 began, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased.Scientific measurements of levels of CO2 contained in cylinders of ice, called ice cores, indicate that the pre-industrial carbon dioxide level was 278 ppm. That level did not vary more than 7 ppm during the 800 years between 1000 and 1800 A.D.
Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased from about 315 ppm in 1958 to 378 ppm at the end of 2004, which means human activities have increased the concentration of atmospheric CO2 by 100 ppm or 36 percent.


It's an odds on proposition that NOAA has arithmeticians who have established math credentials far beyond what you or I have, 'though I will grant that the article is very slightly confusing in that it doesn't refer readers back to the baseline. It just assumes that they realise that the baseline is not 1958.

Adriano
11206 posts
27 Oct 2017 4:27AM
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Right now the CO2 level is around 406ppm

The only plausible reason for this is all the bullshxt coming out of Tony Abbott's mouth, but we can't prove this is out of the ordinary because Tony's bullshxt is just everywhere.

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
27 Oct 2017 11:27AM
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morningsun said..
NOAA said...
Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased from about 315 ppm in 1958 to 378 ppm at the end of 2004, which means human activities have increased the concentration of atmospheric CO2 by 100 ppm or 36 percent.

source: www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2412.htm

NOAA's math needs some schooling;
378-
315
=63.
Its a 20% increase, which is still troubling, IF their original figures are correct.
Their original assumption that 100 is 36% of 315 is also incorrect, it is 31.75%. Who the fluck is doing the science/maths at NOAA...
If they want to be taken seriously as an academic authority on the subject some simple fact checking would be nice.


It adds up. My statement does not. My bad.

The statement in its entirety:

Select to expand quote
Scientific measurements ...the pre-industrial carbon dioxide level was 278 ppm. That level did not vary more than 7 ppm during the 800 years between 1000 and 1800 A.D.

Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased from about 315 ppm in 1958 to 378 ppm at the end of 2004, which means human activities have increased the concentration of atmospheric CO2 by 100 ppm or 36 percent.


It's 278 to 378, since the industrial revolution. 100/278 = 36%

I'd edit my own post but I can't.

Nonetheless, that it has increased that much since the industrial revolution kinda points pretty clearly to where it's coming from.

TonyAbbott
924 posts
27 Oct 2017 9:43AM
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co2 levels rise and fall naturally

No need to panic

Adriano
11206 posts
27 Oct 2017 10:33AM
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Except they're only rising....

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
29 Oct 2017 3:08PM
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TonyAbbott said..
co2 levels rise and fall naturally. No need to panic


They do. Absolutely correct. Ask any climate scientist.
They aren't rising naturally now. Ask any climate scientist.

TonyAbbott
924 posts
29 Oct 2017 4:23PM
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Is any part of the current sea rise natural?

50%, 25%, 5% ????????


Adriano
11206 posts
30 Oct 2017 9:29AM
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That's one of the questions deniers like you have no answer for.

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
30 Oct 2017 1:36PM
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TonyAbbott said..
Is any part of the current sea rise natural?

50%, 25%, 5% ????????





It might be the same percentage of the increase in CO2, and other greenhouse gases, that is natural. That'd be a very small percentage.

I say *might* be because I'm not sure that the ratio of greenhouse gases, air temperature, sea temperature, at different heights/depths, sea level, and so on and on are all 1:1.

Nonetheless, the percentage that is natural would be so small as to be insignificant. We're comparing natural climate change that happens over tens of thousands of years to climate change that is happening over a few hundred.

...so, perhaps 1/10,000th? 0.001%?

As you like to say; "insignificant".

AUS1111
WA, 3621 posts
30 Oct 2017 10:50AM
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Is humanity ever going to be able to do anything about it? Even the keenest of climate-action aficionados must concede that the assumptions of what needs to be achieved post Paris-Agreement are incredibly heroic.

I'm not convinced humanity is capable? Perhaps we should focus a touch more on adaption?

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
30 Oct 2017 1:59PM
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^ It's crazy it might come to that, because the effort, disruption, and money that will have to go into adapting is far, far, faaaaaaaaaaaar greater than preventing it.

Preventing it is actually easier, better, cheaper.

Even the World Economic Forum agrees: reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2017/global-risks-landscape-2017/?doing_wp_cron=1584699360.0331850051879882812500

Adriano
11206 posts
30 Oct 2017 11:06AM
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Human nature is generally to deny a problem exists for as long as possible, and only act when there is no choice - even if that means dealing with a catastrophe out of our control.

TonyAbbott
924 posts
30 Oct 2017 11:10AM
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Adaption is smart

Humans have always adapted to their climate and environment

Mitigation is waste of money



musorianin
QLD, 597 posts
30 Oct 2017 1:21PM
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Pugwash said..

Macroscien said..



Pugwash said..
I believe it is possible that HGO2 may have had a little too much C2H6O and should move onto a whole bunch of H2O.





C2H5OH




Also correct


Maybe more like C21H30O2?

AUS1111
WA, 3621 posts
30 Oct 2017 12:29PM
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evlPanda said..
Preventing it is actually easier, better, cheaper.

Even the World Economic Forum agrees: reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2017/global-risks-landscape-2017/?doing_wp_cron=1584699360.0331850051879882812500


Don't get me wrong, I'm all for preventing it, just not convinced that is actually possible. Opinions on this will differ but a fair amount of optimism is required whichever way you look at it.

PS; this thread could continue for our lifetimes; even longer than "Funny images of 9/11"

petermac33
WA, 6415 posts
30 Oct 2017 1:29PM
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All their predictions of dire sea level rise have been shown to be lies.

The sea is not rising - period.

The combo of repeating a lie often enough.....and blind trust in the establishment have the masses believing we are under threat from sea level rise.

See the level for yourself - it's constant

elbows
23 posts
30 Oct 2017 2:00PM
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The sea level may well rise and fall . as it has done in the past . The real effect is on what people have built on the coastline , ever wondered why there isn't too much known about history from beyond 10,000 years ago . It's underwater !

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
30 Oct 2017 5:35PM
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TonyAbbott said..
Mitigation is waste of money


At worst we'll end up with cleaner, more efficient sources of energy..

Anyone with solar on their roof already knows this is better.

TonyAbbott
924 posts
30 Oct 2017 4:26PM
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At worst we will go bankrupt and lower our living standards to that of Venezuela

We already have people having to choose between having the lights on or food

Solar panels are great for the rich, but when the rich stop buying their electricity from the grid the poor have to pay more to make up the loss is demand

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
31 Oct 2017 3:41PM
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Wait, wait, wait...

Let's go back to wether the Global Warming is human induced or not.

You've slipped away before coming to a conclusion. You've changed the topic.

DARTH
WA, 3028 posts
31 Oct 2017 1:26PM
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evlPanda said..
Wait, wait, wait...

Let's go back to wether the Global Warming is human induced or not.

You've slipped away before coming to a conclusion. You've changed the topic.


That was his job.....

TonyAbbott
924 posts
1 Nov 2017 12:53AM
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evlPanda said..
Wait, wait, wait...

Let's go back to wether the Global Warming is human induced or not.

You've slipped away before coming to a conclusion. You've changed the topic.



Is it back to global warming, I thought it was called climate change.

Anyway, the earths climate has changed for billions of years, naturally. And will continue to do so.

Co2 levels have changed over billions of years, naturally. We have very low levels of co2 at the moment. The planet thrives with high plant food levels. During the jurassic period the co2 levels were up to 9000ppm and there 25m ferns with giant dinosaurs.

There is nothing going on with the climate that is unusual or unprecedented.

If humans are contributing, it would be only be very minor. Co2 is just one greenhouse gas, a minor one at that, about 3% of total greenhouse gases. Of which we only contribute a tiny amount, about 3% of that 3%.

No need to over exaggerate our impact on the climate. No need to waste trillions of $ when even the CSIRO says that if we were to reduce our co2 output to zero we would have no impact on climate change.

The CSIRO has zero empirical evidence of human induced climate change. All this economy destroying fear mongering is based on failed models and exaggerated predictions.

AUS1111
WA, 3621 posts
1 Nov 2017 8:35AM
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evlPanda said..
At worst we'll end up with cleaner, more efficient sources of energy..



I hope you're right but there is a worse scenario; we pursue economically destructive policies that do nothing to reverse human-induced climate change. In our weakened economy we are then unable to adapt.

See there are essentially three camps in this debate now:

- Those who believe in anthropogenic climate change and feel we should try to reverse this at any cost
- Those who believe in anthropogenic climate change and question our capacity to do anything about it
- Those who don't believe in anthropogenic climate change (it would be nice if these people were right but I don't think so)

Let's talk about it.

Poida
WA, 1921 posts
1 Nov 2017 8:58AM
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its called Gaslighting, the style that Tony Abbott and Donald Trump use to try and convince people of their views.

azymuth
WA, 2153 posts
1 Nov 2017 9:11AM
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TonyAbbott said..
Is it back to global warming, I thought it was called climate change.

Anyway, the earths climate has changed for billions of years, naturally. And will continue to do so.

Co2 levels have changed over billions of years, naturally. We have very low levels of co2 at the moment. The planet thrives with high plant food levels. During the jurassic period the co2 levels were up to 9000ppm and there 25m ferns with giant dinosaurs.

There is nothing going on with the climate that is unusual or unprecedented.

If humans are contributing, it would be only be very minor. Co2 is just one greenhouse gas, a minor one at that, about 3% of total greenhouse gases. Of which we only contribute a tiny amount, about 3% of that 3%.

No need to over exaggerate our impact on the climate. No need to waste trillions of $ when even the CSIRO says that if we were to reduce our co2 output to zero we would have no impact on climate change.

The CSIRO has zero empirical evidence of human induced climate change. All this economy destroying fear mongering is based on failed models and exaggerated predictions.


Baffles me why we even bother to fund scientists when lay people can figure out incredibly complicated issues like CC for themselves

In the real world - expert consensus (97% in the case of CC) is a powerful thing.
We don't have the time or capacity to learn about everything, and so we defer to the conclusions of experts.
It's why we visit doctors when we're ill or why we trust a pilot in a plane. The same is true of climate change.

Adriano
11206 posts
1 Nov 2017 9:16AM
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AUS1111 said..

evlPanda said..
At worst we'll end up with cleaner, more efficient sources of energy..


I hope you're right but there is a worse scenario; we pursue economically destructive policies that do nothing to reverse human-induced climate change. In our weakened economy we are then unable to adapt.

See there are essentially three camps in this debate now:

- Those who believe in anthropogenic climate change and feel we should try to reverse this at any cost
- Those who believe in anthropogenic climate change and question our capacity to do anything about it
- Those who don't believe in anthropogenic climate change (it would be nice if these people were right but I don't think so)

Let's talk about it.

Not much point talking when you're missing the most logical and rational "camp" in your summary.

TonyAbbott
924 posts
1 Nov 2017 9:40AM
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azymuth said..

TonyAbbott said..
Is it back to global warming, I thought it was called climate change.

Anyway, the earths climate has changed for billions of years, naturally. And will continue to do so.

Co2 levels have changed over billions of years, naturally. We have very low levels of co2 at the moment. The planet thrives with high plant food levels. During the jurassic period the co2 levels were up to 9000ppm and there 25m ferns with giant dinosaurs.

There is nothing going on with the climate that is unusual or unprecedented.

If humans are contributing, it would be only be very minor. Co2 is just one greenhouse gas, a minor one at that, about 3% of total greenhouse gases. Of which we only contribute a tiny amount, about 3% of that 3%.

No need to over exaggerate our impact on the climate. No need to waste trillions of $ when even the CSIRO says that if we were to reduce our co2 output to zero we would have no impact on climate change.

The CSIRO has zero empirical evidence of human induced climate change. All this economy destroying fear mongering is based on failed models and exaggerated predictions.



Baffles me why we even bother to fund scientists when lay people can figure out incredibly complicated issues like CC for themselves

In the real world - expert consensus (97% in the case of CC) is a powerful thing.
We don't have the time or capacity to learn about everything, and so we defer to the conclusions of experts.
It's why we visit doctors when we're ill or why we trust a pilot in a plane. The same is true of climate change.


The 97% consensus is a made up imaginary number

Of the 11,994 papers used for the Cook et al. (2013) 97% claim, 99.5 did not say recent global warming was mostly man made.

Only 0.5 did (Legates et al., 2013). It took massive amounts of creativity and deception to invent the 97% consensus theory.

Adriano
11206 posts
1 Nov 2017 10:32AM
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Of course there's no deception or creativity in the denier's camp, is there Tony Dumb Dumb?

evlPanda
NSW, 9207 posts
1 Nov 2017 2:04PM
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TonyAbbott said..


evlPanda said..
Wait, wait, wait...

Let's go back to wether the Global Warming is human induced or not.

You've slipped away before coming to a conclusion. You've changed the topic.





Is it back to global warming, I thought it was called climate change.

Anyway, the earths climate has changed for billions of years, naturally. And will continue to do so.

Co2 levels have changed over billions of years, naturally. We have very low levels of co2 at the moment. The planet thrives with high plant food levels. During the jurassic period the co2 levels were up to 9000ppm and there 25m ferns with giant dinosaurs.

There is nothing going on with the climate that is unusual or unprecedented.

If humans are contributing, it would be only be very minor. Co2 is just one greenhouse gas, a minor one at that, about 3% of total greenhouse gases. Of which we only contribute a tiny amount, about 3% of that 3%.

No need to over exaggerate our impact on the climate. No need to waste trillions of $ when even the CSIRO says that if we were to reduce our co2 output to zero we would have no impact on climate change.

The CSIRO has zero empirical evidence of human induced climate change. All this economy destroying fear mongering is based on failed models and exaggerated predictions.



We just had this entire conversation already.

You have alzheimer's.



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Forums > General Discussion   Shooting the breeze...


"They say that sea water is rising and Ice burgs are breaking up Why?" started by HG02