Forums > General Discussion   Shooting the breeze...

Vaccine who has it who hasn't who won't?

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Created by Razzonater > 9 months ago, 25 Jun 2021
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psychomub
448 posts
2 Jul 2021 7:43AM
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airsail said..

stoff said..
I'm not convinced we need the vaccine for everyone. The virus is behaving exactly as was predicted.
More contagious but less deadly strains are taking over.
Original strain had 1.9% mortality while delta is only 0.3%.Vaccinate the vulnerable and let it go.



Agree in the idea of opening up and let it run, once the ?% are vaccinated. What that % is no one knows, maybe around 60-70% once you remove children and antivax from the equation. There are already comments from those vaccinated as to why they need locking down and masks, increased pressure will be applied to the politicians to not lock down in the future as the vaccination rate increases.

ICU won't be over run with cases, children tend not to need ICU so it will only be the antivax needing it.


ICUs will then be free to be over run with regular seasonal flu cases as has been the case for decades.

Ian K
WA, 4162 posts
2 Jul 2021 8:38AM
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eppo said..
for instance no one is talking about the fact that the vaccine is made from the COVID spike protein (it didn't have to be by the way there are other molecules that could deliver the vaccine but it would have taken a lot longer and a lot more money), doesn't stay at the point of injection - crosses the blood brain barrier and some preliminary data (by medical professionals - not that I even subscribe to its concrete validity because of this) is suspected to maybe be the cause of this long COVID issue we are having. This spike protein is know to produce cytokines - hence the inflammation issues these poor patients have.



But isn't the spike protein the essential ingredient of all the vaccines? From what I can make out from the info sent to us non-experts, the spike is the virus's attacking mechanism and a vaccine has to replicate this attacking mechanism on a non-reproducing bit of something.

ie the spike is what the immune system has to be taught to recognise so a vaccine without the spike isn't going to train it to do anything.

( Or maybe you just made a typo. Is the spike the "delivery system" or is the spike the thing that the delivery system has to deliver?)

stoff
WA, 248 posts
2 Jul 2021 9:18AM
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Mr Milk said..
Where does that lower mortality rate come from? Doing a bit of Googling I can't find death rates, but plenty of claims that it produces more severe disease
eg

n the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention upgraded the Delta variant[/u] to a "variant of concern" earlier this week because of its increased transmissibility. New research suggested that the variant nearly doubles the risk of hospitalization compared to the previously dominant strain in the U.K.


Where are the claims that delta is more severe?
All that says is that more people are getting hospitalised, which is to be expected as it's more contagious.
The difference is they aren't dying at anywhere near the same rate.
The spin doctors will tell you it's because of the vaccines but this is being disingenuous as the numbers don't lie.
Look at the US (original strain) 1864 deaths per million vs India (delta) 287 deaths per million.

bjw
QLD, 3687 posts
2 Jul 2021 2:46PM
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Is that because they've learner to handle it better, they've stopped categorising 95yo dieing from it or because its less lethal?

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
2 Jul 2021 2:32PM
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stoff said..
Mr Milk said..
Where does that lower mortality rate come from? Doing a bit of Googling I can't find death rates, but plenty of claims that it produces more severe disease
eg

n the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention upgraded the Delta variant[/u] to a "variant of concern" earlier this week because of its increased transmissibility. New research suggested that the variant nearly doubles the risk of hospitalization compared to the previously dominant strain in the U.K.


Where are the claims that delta is more severe?
All that says is that more people are getting hospitalised, which is to be expected as it's more contagious.
The difference is they aren't dying at anywhere near the same rate.
The spin doctors will tell you it's because of the vaccines but this is being disingenuous as the numbers don't lie.
Look at the US (original strain) 1864 deaths per million vs India (delta) 287 deaths per million.


If this is correct, does having one strain prevent you from catching the other strain, or does the first strain somehow get displaced because people are being treated for the more contagious version and therefore don't catch it?

tarquin1
954 posts
2 Jul 2021 3:17PM
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From what I understand if you have had one variant it doesn't make you immune to all variants. The numbers are really really low on this though. Very very little chance.
For a health pass here they are accepting if you have had COVID, any variant and have had a blood test showing antibodies you can get a health pass.
How long the antibodies last varies greatly as well.

lotofwind
NSW, 6451 posts
2 Jul 2021 5:53PM
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I think for all of us no here to be safe and not to be feed all this wrong information, Laurie should only let people post who have had their jab and can show their health pass.

Kamikuza
QLD, 6493 posts
2 Jul 2021 6:37PM
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drlazone said..
500,000 dead in the US. In the same reasoning, we all die, why have hospital or treatment at all?Why lifejacket, why bother with lifeguards (Aussie lifeguards are amazing but why bother?), why shark warning, why seatbelt? etc etc...


Huh? Vaccination gives you immunity (to some measurable degree) and once you got it, you got it. That's the whole point.

500,000? That's the entire excess mortality figure isn't it, including COVID, for 2020. There's been a 23% increase in overall excess mortality, some of it attributable to COVID, but excess mortality is up in all the categories.

Even the CDC doesn't put it that high: www.pnas.org/content/118/16/e2024850118

...if you REALLY want to bang on about excess mortality -- why is NZ's into double digits over average when the country hasn't had a single death from COVID since last year? Perhaps the country needs more lockdowns
stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?QueryId=104676

But your point there is confusing risk and hazard: we manage risk and avoid hazards. We wear seatbelts to mitigate the hazards of an auto accident... but you're still going to get hurt. Such is life.

Seems to me that people expect to have risk reduced to zero and any level of sickness or injury is unacceptable. Not how the real world works...!

Buster fin
WA, 2596 posts
2 Jul 2021 7:43PM
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Can't quote any figures at all, but have just heard that Japan donated heaps of (unwanted) AZ stockpiles to Taiwan ( as China has limited the supply) and they have had lots of problems/deaths due to blood clots. Seems like that kind of news doesn't flow to Australia 'for some reason'.
If anyone can shed more light on that, I'd be very interested to hear it.

Ian K
WA, 4162 posts
2 Jul 2021 8:00PM
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Buster fin said..
Can't quote any figures at all, but have just heard that Japan donated heaps of (unwanted) AZ stockpiles to Taiwan ( as China has limited the supply) and they have had lots of problems/deaths due to blood clots. Seems like that kind of news doesn't flow to Australia 'for some reason'.
If anyone can shed more light on that, I'd be very interested to hear it.


Why else would Japan have excess stocks? They are not far from the bottom on vaccination percentages. Put all their eggs in the wrong basket as well maybe?


tarquin1
954 posts
2 Jul 2021 9:00PM
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France donate about 500 000 doses of Astra Zeneca to Africa. Senegal I think.

theDoctor
NSW, 5785 posts
3 Jul 2021 12:27AM
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all so easily led

Pugwash
WA, 7729 posts
2 Jul 2021 10:59PM
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Ian K said..

Buster fin said..
Can't quote any figures at all, but have just heard that Japan donated heaps of (unwanted) AZ stockpiles to Taiwan ( as China has limited the supply) and they have had lots of problems/deaths due to blood clots. Seems like that kind of news doesn't flow to Australia 'for some reason'.
If anyone can shed more light on that, I'd be very interested to hear it.



Why else would Japan have excess stocks? They are not far from the bottom on vaccination percentages. Put all their eggs in the wrong basket as well maybe?



Whoop, whoop!!!

Front of the queue baby!!! just look at all of those countries behind us... starting with New Zealand...

japie
NSW, 7145 posts
3 Jul 2021 6:37AM
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These experimental vaccines have been approved on the basis of there being no cure for the disease.

There are. They are cheaper and demonstrably more effective and have been proven to have a remarkable safety record. The vaccines have killed and maimed hundreds of thousands of people.

Th UK Column News did a thorough job of exposing the BS data issued by the health authorities that demonstrates that the mortality rates are higher after having the vaccine.
Mike Yeadon also speaks about natural immunity to H1N1. T-cell immunity to corona viruses works across the board, lasts a life time if you've had Covid it's pointless vaccinating for new strains as your immunity will have no trouble handling it.

And in the words of Peter McCollough is the gold standard for immunity. www.ukcolumn.org/ukcolumn-news/uk-column-news-30th-june-2021

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
3 Jul 2021 6:33AM
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japie said..
There are. They are cheaper and demonstrably more effective and have been proven to have a remarkable safety record. The vaccines have killed and maimed hundreds of thousands of people.



That's devastating! Have you got a source for that information?

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
3 Jul 2021 6:36AM
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theDoctor said..

all so easily led


Indeed. Only 'we' know the truth and anyone else is a numptie.

I feel so superior seeing 'the truth' and all these other idiots, millions of them, are being led. It happens with most things. Not just Covid and vaccines, pretty much everything. WTCs, moon landings, JFK, I have the inside goss on everything baby.

japie
NSW, 7145 posts
3 Jul 2021 8:52AM
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FormulaNova said..

japie said..
There are. They are cheaper and demonstrably more effective and have been proven to have a remarkable safety record. The vaccines have killed and maimed hundreds of thousands of people.




That's devastating! Have you got a source for that information?


www.ukcolumn.org/ukcolumn-news/uk-column-news-30th-june-2021

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
3 Jul 2021 7:25AM
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japie said..
FormulaNova said..

japie said..
There are. They are cheaper and demonstrably more effective and have been proven to have a remarkable safety record. The vaccines have killed and maimed hundreds of thousands of people.




That's devastating! Have you got a source for that information?


www.ukcolumn.org/ukcolumn-news/uk-column-news-30th-june-2021


There is a link there to an article that says "Only 3% of under-50s hospitalised with Indian Covid have been fully vaccinated - and NONE have died:" - is that the one?

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
3 Jul 2021 7:37AM
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stoff said..
Mr Milk said..
Where does that lower mortality rate come from? Doing a bit of Googling I can't find death rates, but plenty of claims that it produces more severe disease
eg

n the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention upgraded the Delta variant[/u] to a "variant of concern" earlier this week because of its increased transmissibility. New research suggested that the variant nearly doubles the risk of hospitalization compared to the previously dominant strain in the U.K.


Where are the claims that delta is more severe?
All that says is that more people are getting hospitalised, which is to be expected as it's more contagious.
The difference is they aren't dying at anywhere near the same rate.
The spin doctors will tell you it's because of the vaccines but this is being disingenuous as the numbers don't lie.
Look at the US (original strain) 1864 deaths per million vs India (delta) 287 deaths per million.


I was just reading something on this that says that just because something is less deadly but is more contagious doesn't mean that it is less of a problem. It makes sense if you think about it. If something has half the mortality rate but spreads to 3 times the number of people, then the overall death rate is higher.

The idea that a virus becomes less deadly as it becomes more contagious is an appealing one, but it seems that this is not always the case, and is affected by a lot of factors.

I think the one thing about this pandemic is that we won't know the outcome before it happens, and anyone that says they predicted it is just guessing.

Ian K
WA, 4162 posts
3 Jul 2021 9:00AM
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FormulaNova said..

I think the one thing about this pandemic is that we won't know the outcome before it happens, and anyone that says they predicted it is just guessing.

The details are unknown but the big picture heading forward is that this time next year we'll all be back into our planet-trashing lifestyles as if nothing happened.

Some already are www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-01/wa-premier-angry-at-overseas-travellers-taking-european-holidays/100258744

They'll possibly be making your annual flu shot a cocktail but but other than that?

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
3 Jul 2021 10:09AM
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Ian K said..

FormulaNova said..

I think the one thing about this pandemic is that we won't know the outcome before it happens, and anyone that says they predicted it is just guessing.

The details are unknown but the big picture heading forward is that this time next year we'll all be back into our planet-trashing lifestyles as if nothing happened.

Some already are www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-01/wa-premier-angry-at-overseas-travellers-taking-european-holidays/100258744

They'll possibly be making your annual flu shot a cocktail but but other than that?


There was a guy in my cycling group that decided to go to Sweden and the UK for his daughter's 16th birthday. Hardly a good reason, but he has dual nationality so they couldn't stop him. I wonder if he decided to come back or stayed there.

It would take a fair bit of effort though by the sounds of it. I thought even getting flights was meant to be a challenge from some locations.

Reading up on the European experience, it sounds like having a vaccination passport is the only realistic way for people to travel. This also includes having previously had Covid, so presumably they need a recent test to test for antibodies. So even the unvaccinated can travel, they just have to have had Covid first, recently enough to have antibodies.

tarquin1
954 posts
3 Jul 2021 1:24PM
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Yes, I did put that in an earlier post. If you have had COVID you go and get a blood test. They are not sure how often this will have to be done. I know a few people that have had COVID more than 6 months ago and still have antibodies.
And yes you will ha e to have a health pass here to do anything indoor or travel.

Pugwash
WA, 7729 posts
3 Jul 2021 1:46PM
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You can train to be a better windsurfer by practicing. Often.

You can train to lift heavy things by going to the gym.

You can train your brain to better at problem solving by repetition.

You can train your immune system to recognise things that ought not be there.

Jeepers, you can even train your dog to sit, stay, rollover, your parrot to talk, your horse to walk funny, your cat to. um. forget that one.

I'm sure I had a point, but I got distracted looking at stupid cat videos.

Kamikuza
QLD, 6493 posts
3 Jul 2021 9:15PM
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Buster fin said..
Can't quote any figures at all, but have just heard that Japan donated heaps of (unwanted) AZ stockpiles to Taiwan ( as China has limited the supply) and they have had lots of problems/deaths due to blood clots. Seems like that kind of news doesn't flow to Australia 'for some reason'.
If anyone can shed more light on that, I'd be very interested to hear it.


Japan has a very vocal anti-vax contingent, and the slightest issue get blown out of all proportion. Government is very risk-averse when it comes to things like that cos it gets expensive.

psychojoe
WA, 2239 posts
3 Jul 2021 7:17PM
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Pugwash said..
You can train to be a better windsurfer by practicing. Often.

You can train to lift heavy things by going to the gym.

You can train your brain to better at problem solving by repetition.

You can train your immune system to recognise things that ought not be there.

Jeepers, you can even train your dog to sit, stay, rollover, your parrot to talk, your horse to walk funny, your cat to. um. forget that one.

I'm sure I had a point, but I got distracted looking at stupid cat videos.


One of the mums at the school trained her cat to use the toilet, just can't flush it.

FormulaNova
WA, 15090 posts
3 Jul 2021 7:52PM
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Pugwash said..
You can train to be a better windsurfer by practicing. Often.

You can train to lift heavy things by going to the gym.

You can train your brain to better at problem solving by repetition.

You can train your immune system to recognise things that ought not be there.

Jeepers, you can even train your dog to sit, stay, rollover, your parrot to talk, your horse to walk funny, your cat to. um. forget that one.

I'm sure I had a point, but I got distracted looking at stupid cat videos.


Careful. I think you know how you train your immune system, but I think others may think that it involves eating organic fruit and vegetables instead and doing yoga twice a day.

Then again, I might be mistaken and that's what you think. If so, have a nice day!

Gboots
NSW, 1321 posts
3 Jul 2021 11:52PM
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From the mRNA inventor .
Long but definitely worth a listen



news.yahoo.com/amphtml/single-most-qualified-mrna-expert-173600060.html

"Young adults in the prime of their lives are being forced to take the vaccine because Tony Fauci said that," he said, contending Malone's expertise makes him "the single most qualified" person to share information about the technology and warrants him "a right to speak."Malone clarified that he was not discouraging the use of the vaccine but was providing people with as much fair information as he could about their risks."This is a fundamental right having to do with clinical research ethics," he said. "And so, my concern is that I know that there are risks. But we don't have access to the data, and the data haven't been captured rigorously enough so that we can accurately assess those risks - and therefore . we don't really have the information that we need to make a reasonable decision."That's one of my other objections, is that we toss about these words, risk-benefit analysis, casually as if it's a very deep science. It's not. Normally, at this stage, the CDC [Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices] would have performed those risk-benefit analyses. They would be data-based and science-based. They're not right now," Malone said.Malone also said he has "a bias that the benefits probably don't outweigh the risks" for younger people who are being encouraged or required to take the vaccine."I can say that the risk-benefit ratio for those 18 and below doesn't justify vaccines, and there's a pretty good chance that it doesn't justify vaccination in these very young adults," he added.Malone discovered in-vitro and in-vivo RNA transfection when he was at the Salk Institute in 1988, and he subsequently invented mRNA vaccines, which are being used over 20 years later to combat the spread of the coronavirus.

Buster fin
WA, 2596 posts
4 Jul 2021 4:28PM
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According to ABC news this arvo, one in every 529 USAmericans has died from Covid.
They are a big bodied nation, to be fair.

Pugwash
WA, 7729 posts
4 Jul 2021 4:34PM
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Buster fin said..
According to ABC news this arvo, one in every 529 USAmericans has died from Covid.
They are a big bodied nation, to be fair.


On those numbers, you'd have to guess that, on average, each American knows (knew?) two or three people who have died from Covid.

Ian K
WA, 4162 posts
4 Jul 2021 4:56PM
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Buster fin said..
According to ABC news this arvo, one in every 529 USAmericans has died from Covid.
They are a big bodied nation, to be fair.


Well if the average lifespan of an American is about 80 you're going to have to lose about 7 in 529 each year anyway. What did the other 6 die of?



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Forums > General Discussion   Shooting the breeze...


"Vaccine who has it who hasn't who won't?" started by Razzonater