It's all over the place. There are still winter westerlies.
Surely the 3 day seabreeze, southerly change for 4 days, 3 day seabreeze pattern starts soon?
The normally reliable spring NEers in SE QLD are also late and inconsistent. The following is an exert from the BOM site. I have no idea what the effect is on our current weather patterns, but it sounds significant.
Strong negative Indian Ocean Dipole continues to dominate
A persistent and strong negative phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), combined with a La Niña-like pattern of warm seas around northern Australia, continue to be the major drivers of Australian climate. Temperatures in the central tropical Pacific Ocean continue to be below average, but remain El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral. Most international climate models surveyed indicate the Pacific is likely to remain at ENSO neutral levels through to the end of 2016, though one international model suggests a La Niña late in the year is possible. Some indications of atmospheric coupling have emerged in recent weeks. August was the first month to show persistent below average cloud around the Date Line (typical of La Niña), and this pattern has continued during September. Likewise, the Southern Oscillation Index has exceeded La Niña thresholds for the past two weeks. Hence the ENSO Outlook remains at La Niña WATCH.
Warmer than normal sea surface temperatures to Australia's north and east, and the broader southwest Pacific Ocean, strengthened over the past fortnight and may be contributing to some La Niña-like impacts. Likewise, a very strong negative IOD persists in the Indian Ocean and is also increasing the likelihood of wet conditions over Australia. Models indicate the IOD will return to neutral levels by the end of spring. Spring in eastern Australia is typically wetter than average during a negative IOD (and La Niña).
Its been more of a traditional weather pattern in Sydney this year.Strong dry westerlies throughout late August/September/early October.
So hoping for a traditional summer too pattern too with 2-3 noreasters and a southerly per week.
Temp of the water in the bay felt colder than previous years too this weekend so the signs are pointing in the right direction.
Hoping for a good one we are due.
Select to expand quoteevlPanda said..
It's all over the place. There are still winter westerlies.
Surely the 3 day seabreeze, southerly change for 4 days, 3 day seabreeze pattern starts soon?
Last week we had a southerly followed by a NE and it looks like we have a similar pattern occuring this week as well with a southerly tomorrow and a Nor'Easter on Sat/Sun.
Well, I guess it's here now! 
Had a fantastic sail last Saturday on Botany Bay. Powered up on a 6.3 all afternoon. I wouldn't have changed a thing. Perfect. An excellent start to the season.
Season's greetings to all 
