Wow what a tricky one... looking at the models for tomorrow the swell and wind should first pick up along Longy and Wanda along with Gerroa.
Rain patterns should be a bit heavier further South. But that said Gerroa sits in a rain shadow when it's blowing North to North East.
I think if the rain kicks in the Gong might be rained out.
So what gives? Anyone driving to Gerroa? Who's sailing in Longy / Wanda?
Go to BOM:
www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=AEDT&area=NSW&model=A
and:
www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=windbarb&level=10m&tz=AEDT&area=NSW&model=A
and:
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/watl/rainfall/pme.jsp
and:
www.bom.gov.au/jsp/watl/wind/index.jsp
Is that factual enough?
Qwerty,
What have you got against Wanda?
Anyway, being from the north side I agree Longy generally sux in a seabreeze NE however the quality of the waves (southerly swell) can make it great in NE pressure breezes and ENE at Butterbox.
Happens a few times a year and I got on the water at 6.15am last Nov.
This NE er is a gradient wind not a thermal, am I right?
If the graph says it will blow 30 knots from the NE then it will, I suppose.
Long reef should be fine.