As you can tell from the photos below the swell has actually arrived. It's dead South at about shoulder high with some higher sets coming in. Quality is a bit flaky at the moment but that should change as the tide goes out. Wind is up around 20 to 30 knts. from the W but too light on the inside.
Things could improve around lunch time. Very little wind further North so I am thinking Port Kembla might not be windy enough.
Looking ahead I think we might see a Nor'Easter tomorrow in combo with some swell. Christmas Day might also bring some wind albeit with no swell. Looking ahead to boxing day I think the Sydney to Hobart fleet will have their work cut out for them. There is a pretty juicy low pressure system trying to make it's way up from Antarctica.
my brother in-law is in the syd-hobart in one of the smallest boats. I'm not sure I would ever do that race. slow start forecast and they usually get worked with a WSW gale nearing Bass Strait.
Hopefully next weeks southerly will be followed up by a NE for Gerroa magic.
How gusty is Gerroa in a W.
^^^^ Try nearly double that 49 knts at the airport . Heres the thread here
www.seabreeze.com.au/forums/Kitesurfing/General/Westerly-Buster-in-Sydney/#629415
I admire your attempts at weather forecasting for the Gerroa area, but dont you think it should be from someone who has been living there for more than 12mths
Even the experts arent getting it right with these unpredictable La Nina weather patterns