It doesn't seem like a day passes without the mention of the building El Nino on the news.
If El Nino does set in. Is it likely to have a positive or negative impact on the wind in NSW?
The prediction of strong sea breezes is not happening in SE Qld. The following is some info I've taken from KA72. I've used a 25kt 2 sec board speed as the threshold for a successful sailing day and taken the results from KA72 for each month for the Moreton Bay Mob sailing spot of Wellington Point. Wellington point works in the NE, E, SE direction.
Sailing days / month where recorded 2 sec board speed on KA72 exceeded 25kts
Location Wellinton Point Qld
Year, Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec, Comment
2011, 9, 12, 15, 15, 19, La Nina
2012, 9, 8, 16, 12, 16, Neutral
2013, 7, 17, 20, 18, 19, Neutral
2014, 12, 15, 19, 17, 12, Weak El Nino
2015, 2, 11, El Nino
The results for 2015 are so far below average
Below average is what the wind seems like compared to last year!
On the south coast NSW we are getting regular NEer's but they are short lived with little to no strength(sub 15kns) so hoping it is going to improve later in season.
It'll give you great noreasters all summer.
And drier mountain biking tracks. Hey Dan, they took a JCB to all of the jumps at the Dam, shame!