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Severe Storms (yeah right)

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Created by GreenPat > 9 months ago, 10 Jul 2008
GreenPat
QLD, 4093 posts
10 Jul 2008 4:16PM
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www.watoday.com.au/national/western-australia/wa-bracing-for-severe-storms-20080710-3cze.html

There's nothing to that system, I reckon the bureau are out of their trees again. Laurie's arrows don't reflect anything of the like, and the low cell is still at 1013hPa. Still, if it follows through to the morning as per Laurie's prediction there could be one of those rare opportunities for a before work kite.

teabagg
NSW, 141 posts
10 Jul 2008 4:22PM
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GreenPat said...

www.watoday.com.au/national/western-australia/wa-bracing-for-severe-storms-20080710-3cze.html

There's nothing to that system, I reckon the bureau are out of their trees again. Laurie's arrows don't reflect anything of the like, and the low cell is still at 1013hPa. Still, if it follows through to the morning as per Laurie's prediction there could be one of those rare opportunities for a before work kite.


your theory falls apart when you rely on laurie's prediction.... its his tree the bureau are out on

GreenPat
QLD, 4093 posts
10 Jul 2008 4:26PM
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teabagg said...

its his tree the bureau are out on


Please explain?

You know Laurie makes his forecasts from several inputs don't you, not just BOM, and I believe some different modelling methods.

teabagg
NSW, 141 posts
10 Jul 2008 4:33PM
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how many times have we cancelled or postponed engagements because of a days worth of lauries' predicted green arrows, only to end up being able to fart stronger than the actual wind..... my post supreme forum overlord, was in jest

GreenPat
QLD, 4093 posts
10 Jul 2008 4:46PM
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Of course, but he is predicting less than the bureau, that's my point.

I just couldn't piece together your sentence - his tree the bureau are out on? Or out of? Or is he out of his own tree?

poor relative
WA, 9105 posts
10 Jul 2008 3:15PM
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It will come.......

But i say fk it for this weekend
Lets hope its all good for next week when i have time.

laurie
WA, 3858 posts
10 Jul 2008 3:55PM
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Personally, I reckon Laurie is out of his tree!

There are possible 60 knot gusts south of Margaret River, and maybe 55 knots squalls in perth. Depends how much the cell "tightens" .. at the moment, looks like it's going to be pretty savage by the time it hits Adelaide/Melbourne.

Looks like 5m or 7m weather again. Smallest I have is 9m!

p.s. here's our favourite modelling system:



p.p.s. Clicking on the forecast on the graphs will take you too the synoptic chart...

GreenPat
QLD, 4093 posts
10 Jul 2008 7:11PM
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laurie said...

.. at the moment, looks like it's going to be pretty savage by the time it hits Adelaide/Melbourne.


Some cover for the snowfields perhaps...

Ioz
WA, 493 posts
10 Jul 2008 10:03PM
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I was watching it all day and finally decided to go for a drive to check it out down at Brighton (Perth) -

It hit around 4.30 or so along with the rain. I was fully lit on my 7m for about half an hour and then it backed off and started to fluke around. Though for that half an hour it was so nice to get some right handers on my natural tack.

I would say that perhaps only half the time the Northerly winds predicted in Perth actually eventuate.

poor relative
WA, 9105 posts
10 Jul 2008 10:05PM
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Me too watched and watched and got grumpier and grumpier
Hope that it improves next week.

Thus far winter has sucked ass. No NW'ers to speak of.
Waiting and waiting for Cables to turn it on



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