In last year or so...?
I am noticing we are not getting the predicted swell.
The graph used to show ground swell - that is, it was disregarding wind blown chop - which for a windsurfer was good. I go to a different spot up to 2m than I do when its over 2m. Especially once it hits 2.5 plus. If it is 15kn or 35kn I'd still pick those spots on ground swell forecast.
Now I reckon it is always less. That is we are getting less well than the graphs show...
A spot I'd hate on 3m swell has been apparently 3m the last two times I've been there and it has been nice. More like 1.8 - 2m I reckon.
Our port authority real time graph showing actual swell and wind chop separately, and then the combined number, seems to prove my theory.
The fact that the swell graph here seems to rise with, and peak with, the seabreeze strength is more confirmation for me.
I think seabreeze swell data has changed to the (seas + swell ) figure, whereas it used to be just swell.
Laurie is this the case, anyone else noticed, can we change back? Should we change back or am I wrong?
Similar scenario in Qld with both wind and waves. Been putting it down to where the data is being generated & for what purpose. e.g. most of the eastern seaboard has getting belted with pretty intense cyclones+floods+electrical storms over the last decade leading to a more precautious 'better safe than sorry' mentality to forecasting for the general population. That's my theory anyway...
Glad I have the ancient pre-internet skills of interpreting a weather map, looking out of the window and talking to friends who have line of sight to open water.
^^^ Yes it is nice to be able to look at the chart and have an idea, especially the dopey weather girls saying kilometres per hour for what is clearly kn.
Not km gals ![]()
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But knowing what the real swell is makes the difference with a 30min drive or not.....